The upset pick for Week 7 features two teams in far worse shape than this picks column. The 0-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers seek their first win of the season against the struggling 1-4 Atlanta Falcons.
Favored to win by 6.5 points and coming off a bye week, the Falcons have struggled to successfully defend their home field. With 60-percent of their offensive weapons injured and a defense that has no sharpness to its talons, the likelihood these "dirty birds" will be mauled by the underdogs drastically increases.
The Falcons' failure to generate a pass rush will quickly become the team's downfall. Atlanta ranks 27th in sacks and 26th in passing yards allowed.
Some would say facing a rookie quarterback on their own turf is advantageous for the Falcons, but bear in mind before the bye week, they allowed New York Jets rookie quarterback Geno Smith to pass for three touchdowns and complete 80-percent of his passes.
Buccaneers rookie quarterback Mike Glennon has shown improvement since he wrestled the starting job away from now-Vikings' starting quarterback Josh Freeman.
If Glennon and wide receiver Vincent Jackson connect early and often, it could be a long game for the Falcons.
Final Score: Tampa Bay 23, Atlanta 16
The Best of the Rest
Carolina Panthers 31, St. Louis Rams 13
Panthers' running back DeAngelo Williams faces one of the league's worst run defense and quarterback Cam Newton looks to show he can be consistent from week-to-week.
Detroit Lions 28, Cincinnati Bengals 20
Lions' running back Reggie Bush has proven to be well worth the investment for a team who hopes to keep the lead in the NFC North.
Miami Dolphins 23, Buffalo Bills 20
Which Ryan Tannehill will show up for this rivalry game -- the comeback king who led the Dolphins to a 3-0 start or the jittery quarterback we've seen in the two losses before the bye week?
New England Patriots 34, New York Jets 10
If history repeats itself, Patriots' quarterback Tom Brady will decimate the Jets in his second attempt facing them this season.
Philadelphia Eagles 31, Dallas Cowboys 24
Eagles' quarterback Nick Foles will shred the Cowboys' pass defense in his second start of the season.
Chicago Bears 30, Washington Redskins 20
Bears' wide receivers Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey present a huge mismatch versus the Redskins' rookie secondary and running back Matt Forte's threat in the ground game will really keep the Redskins on their heels.
San Diego Chargers 35, Jacksonville Jaguars 10
Don't expect many points from the Jaguars as both starting wide receivers Justin Blackmon and Cecil Shorts are questionable to play.
San Francisco 49ers 23, Tennessee Titans 17
Both teams will employ the smash-mouth approach, relying heavily on the running game and playing solid defense, with the 49ers have a slight edge in talent on both sides.
Green Bay Packers 31, Cleveland Browns 14
Browns' quarterback Brandon Weeden is his own team's kryptonite.
Kansas City Chiefs 30, Houston Texans 14
The Chiefs' fierce pass rush will give Texans' quarterback Case Keenum a proper welcome to the NFL in his first start.
Baltimore Ravens 21, Pittsburgh Steelers 17
Age is finally catching up to everyone over 30 on the Steelers' defense not named Troy Polamalu.
Denver Broncos 45, Indianapolis Colts 14
Broncos' quarterback Peyton Manning returns to the place where his career began and proceeds to give the Colts such a brutal beating, it'll send outspoken Colts owner Jim Irsay on a Twitter tirade.
Minnesota Vikings 27, New York Giants 17
The "Josh Freeman Redemption Tour" starts Monday night as the beleaguered quarterback seeks to prove his worth to the team who gave him a second chance.
Bye Week Breakdown:
The 2-4 Raiders enter their by week far behind the curve in their own division with no real discernible positives to take into their break. For them to fight back into contention, head coach Dennis Allen needs to calm quarterback Terrelle Pryor down a little. The first step for the Raiders to reach their potential is consistent play at quarterback. They'll need it as they face the Steelers, Eagles and Giants in arguably the softest portion of their schedule.
New Orleans Saints
Head coach Sean Payton's team is 5-1 since his return to the helm. During the break, they'll take the time to let key play-maker Jimmy Graham rest after he was injured against the Patriots in the team's sole loss. The Saints exit the bye with back-to-back games versus AFC East opponents, giving them a solid chance to hit the midway point of the season with a 7-1 record.
Picks record for the season: 50-36
Upset pick record: 3-3